Player breakdown
Marquez Stevenson
Houston · 2021 Draft Class
5-10180 lbs6th round, 203rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
23%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Houston | American | 13 | 75 | 1,019 | 9 | 13.6 | 78.4 |
| 2019 | Houston | American | 12 | 52 | 907 | 9 | 17.4 | 75.6 |
| 2020 | Houston | American | 5 | 20 | 307 | 4 | 15.4 | 61.4 |
| Career | 30 | 147 | 2,233 | 22 | 15.2 | 74.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
17%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.743
0.73 TDs/game — dominant red-zone role in college+0.208
BMI 25.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (180 lbs)+0.191
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.819
Physical production synergy-0.472
Recruit dominator synergy-0.227