Player breakdown
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Ohio St. · 2024 Draft Class
6-3209 lbs1st round, 4th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~24
EliteBiletnikoff x1All-American x2Did Not Hit
Major awards: 3Heisman votes: 352NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | ARI | 17 | 16 | 116 | 62 | 885 | 14.3 | 8 | 52.1 |
| 2025 | ARI | 12 | 10 | 73 | 41 | 608 | 14.8 | 4 | 50.7 |
| Career | 29 | 26 | 189 | 103 | 1,493 | 14.5 | 12 | 51.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13 | 11 | 139 | 3 | 12.6 | 10.7 |
| 2022 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13 | 77 | 1,263 | 14 | 16.4 | 97.2 |
| 2023 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12 | 67 | 1,211 | 14 | 18.1 | 100.9 |
| Career | 38 | 155 | 2,613 | 31 | 16.9 | 68.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
70%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.185
BMI 26.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (209 lbs)+0.253
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.96 — elite recruit at elite school+0.212
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+8.1) — getting better faster each year-0.498
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.460
Recruit dominator synergy-0.265