Player breakdown
Maurice Mann
Nevada · 2004 Draft Class
6-1191 lbs5th round, 149th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~43
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
14%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | Nevada | WAC | 12 | 18 | 233 | 3 | 12.9 | 19.4 |
| 2003 | Nevada | WAC | 8 | 35 | 594 | 2 | 17 | 74.3 |
| Career | 20 | 53 | 827 | 5 | 15.6 | 41.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.198
Recruit dominator synergy+0.460
BMI 25.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (191 lbs)+0.174
Top Negative Factors
-13.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.739
0.25 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.499
Accounted for 1.54 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.411