Player breakdown
Davante Adams
Fresno St. · 2014 Draft Class
6-1212 lbs2nd round, 53rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~33
EliteAll-Conference x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
93%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | GNB | 16 | 11 | 66 | 38 | 446 | 11.7 | 3 | 27.9 |
| 2015 | GNB | 13 | 12 | 94 | 50 | 483 | 9.7 | 1 | 37.2 |
| 2016 | GNB | 16 | 15 | 121 | 75 | 997 | 13.3 | 12 | 62.3 |
| 2017 | GNB | 14 | 14 | 117 | 74 | 885 | 12 | 10 | 63.2 |
| 2018 | GNB | 15 | 15 | 169 | 111 | 1,386 | 12.5 | 13 | 92.4 |
| 2019 | GNB | 12 | 12 | 127 | 83 | 997 | 12 | 5 | 83.1 |
| 2020 | GNB | 14 | 14 | 149 | 115 | 1,374 | 11.9 | 18 | 98.1 |
| 2021 | GNB | 16 | 16 | 169 | 123 | 1,553 | 12.6 | 11 | 97.1 |
| 2022 | LVR | 17 | 17 | 180 | 100 | 1,516 | 15.2 | 14 | 89.2 |
| 2023 | LVR | 17 | 17 | 175 | 103 | 1,144 | 11.1 | 8 | 67.3 |
| 2024 | 2TM | 14 | 14 | 141 | 85 | 1,063 | 12.5 | 8 | 75.9 |
| 2024 | LVR | 3 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 209 | 11.6 | 1 | 69.7 |
| 2024 | NYJ | 11 | 11 | 114 | 67 | 854 | 12.7 | 7 | 77.6 |
| 2025 | LAR | 14 | 14 | 114 | 60 | 789 | 13.2 | 14 | 56.4 |
| Career | 192 | 185 | 1763 | 1102 | 13,696 | 12.4 | 125 | 71.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | Fresno State | MWC | 13 | 102 | 1,312 | 14 | 12.9 | 100.9 |
| 2013 | Fresno State | MWC | 13 | 131 | 1,719 | 24 | 13.1 | 132.2 |
| Career | 26 | 233 | 3,031 | 38 | 13.0 | 116.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
99%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.254
Recruit dominator synergy+0.419
43.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.316
Top Negative Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.156
Class YPR rank: top 83% — average per-target efficiency-0.142
Physical upside: 0.91 — elite athletic ceiling-0.136