Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Michael Jackson III
Michael Jackson III

Player breakdown

Michael Jackson III

Purdue · 2026 Draft Class

6-0198 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021USCPac-1281211609.714.5
2022USCPac-12817236413.929.5
2023USCPac-1291714618.616.2
2024GeorgiaSEC51100102
2025PurdueBig Ten12635701947.5
Career421101,07869.825.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

4%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.462
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.227
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.212

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.243
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.713
Improvement accelerating (+3.9) — getting better faster each year-0.479

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)