Player breakdown
Michael Robinson
Penn St. · 2006 Draft Class
6-1227 lbs4th round, 100th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~43
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | Penn State | Big Ten | 13 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| 2003 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11 | 10 | 100 | 0 | 10 | 9.1 |
| 2004 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9 | 33 | 485 | 3 | 14.7 | 53.9 |
| Career | 33 | 52 | 629 | 3 | 12.1 | 19.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
33%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.161
3.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.260
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.38x — route-running independent of system+0.175
Top Negative Factors
-37.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.749
Physical production synergy-0.587
0.09 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.465