Player breakdown
N'Keal Harry
Arizona St. · 2019 Draft Class
6-2228 lbs1st round, 32nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~28
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
74%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | NWE | 7 | 5 | 24 | 12 | 105 | 8.8 | 2 | 15 |
| 2020 | NWE | 14 | 9 | 57 | 33 | 309 | 9.4 | 2 | 22.1 |
| 2021 | NWE | 12 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 184 | 15.3 | 0 | 15.3 |
| 2022 | CHI | 7 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 116 | 16.6 | 1 | 16.6 |
| Career | 40 | 18 | 112 | 64 | 714 | 11.2 | 5 | 17.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 12 | 58 | 659 | 5 | 11.4 | 54.9 |
| 2017 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 13 | 82 | 1,142 | 8 | 13.9 | 87.8 |
| 2018 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 12 | 73 | 1,088 | 9 | 14.9 | 90.7 |
| Career | 37 | 213 | 2,889 | 22 | 13.6 | 78.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
78%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.148
Physical production synergy+0.495
38.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.321
Top Negative Factors
Recruit dominator synergy-0.234
Efficiency composite: 0.67 — average combined efficiency-0.215
0.10 TDs/catch — high-value usage pattern-0.205