Player breakdown
Paris Warren
Utah · 2005 Draft Class
6-0219 lbs7th round, 225th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~44
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
62%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | TAM | 8 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 12.6 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Utah | MWC | 11 | 76 | 809 | 4 | 10.6 | 73.5 |
| 2004 | Utah | MWC | 12 | 80 | 1,076 | 12 | 13.5 | 89.7 |
| Career | 23 | 156 | 1,885 | 16 | 12.1 | 82.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
66%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.263
0.70 TDs/game — dominant red-zone role in college+0.206
Accounted for 3.12 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.189
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.386
Recruit dominator synergy-0.232
Efficiency composite: 0.59 — average combined efficiency-0.190