Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Pharoh Cooper
Pharoh Cooper

Player breakdown

Pharoh Cooper

South Carolina · 2016 Draft Class

5-11203 lbs4th round, 117th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~31
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

54%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016LAR10320141067.6010.6
2017LAR1611911847.605.3
2018LAR50100000
2019ARI12133252439.7120.3
2020CAR161857314.604.6
2021NYG80114338.304.1
2022ARI51226301.2
Career72794615458.917.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013South CarolinaSEC93541186
2014South CarolinaSEC13691,136916.587.4
2015South CarolinaSEC1266973814.781.1
Career341382,1631815.763.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

51%

ML model output

Context Prob

73%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.169
Physical production synergy+0.298
BMI 28.3 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (203 lbs)+0.262

Top Negative Factors

+7.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.705
Improvement accelerating (+20.0) — getting better faster each year-0.436
Efficiency consistency: 1.15 — highly consistent across seasons-0.310

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)