Predicting the Pros
Predictions/P.K. Sam
P.K. Sam

Player breakdown

P.K. Sam

Florida St. · 2004 Draft Class

6-3210 lbs5th round, 164th overallAge at Draft: 20Age: ~42
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

72%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2001Florida StateACC1111158214.414.4
2002Florida StateACC1115173011.515.7
2003Florida StateACC1350735514.756.5
Career35761,066714.030.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

17%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

8

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.176
Recruit dominator synergy+0.467
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.04x — route-running independent of system+0.181

Top Negative Factors

-25.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.747
0.20 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.489
Accounted for 1.68 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.427

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)