Player breakdown
Quez Watkins
Southern Miss · 2020 Draft Class
6-0185 lbs6th round, 200th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
28%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | PHI | 6 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 106 | 15.1 | 1 | 17.7 |
| 2021 | PHI | 17 | 12 | 62 | 43 | 647 | 15 | 1 | 38.1 |
| 2022 | PHI | 17 | 8 | 51 | 33 | 354 | 10.7 | 3 | 20.8 |
| 2023 | PHI | 9 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 142 | 9.5 | 1 | 15.8 |
| Career | 49 | 25 | 147 | 98 | 1,249 | 12.7 | 6 | 25.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Southern Mississippi | CUSA | 13 | 23 | 337 | 2 | 14.7 | 25.9 |
| 2018 | Southern Mississippi | CUSA | 11 | 72 | 889 | 9 | 12.3 | 80.8 |
| 2019 | Southern Mississippi | CUSA | 12 | 64 | 1,178 | 6 | 18.4 | 98.2 |
| Career | 36 | 159 | 2,404 | 17 | 15.1 | 66.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
23%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.402
BMI 25.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (185 lbs)+0.229
Speed score 103.3 — strong weight-adjusted athleticism+0.186
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.654
Improvement accelerating (+2.5) — getting better faster each year-0.351
+14.6 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.262