Player breakdown
Will Fuller
Notre Dame · 2016 Draft Class
6-0186 lbs1st round, 21st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
82%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | HOU | 14 | 13 | 92 | 47 | 635 | 13.5 | 2 | 45.4 |
| 2017 | HOU | 10 | 10 | 50 | 28 | 423 | 15.1 | 7 | 42.3 |
| 2018 | HOU | 7 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 503 | 15.7 | 4 | 71.9 |
| 2019 | HOU | 11 | 11 | 71 | 49 | 670 | 13.7 | 3 | 60.9 |
| 2020 | HOU | 11 | 11 | 75 | 53 | 879 | 16.6 | 8 | 79.9 |
| 2021 | MIA | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 6.5 | 0 | 13 |
| Career | 55 | 52 | 341 | 213 | 3,136 | 14.7 | 24 | 57.0 | |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
63%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.151
BMI 25.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (186 lbs)+0.255
Physical production synergy+0.235
Top Negative Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.446
Improvement accelerating (+6.9) — getting better faster each year-0.410
Efficiency consistency: 1.53 — highly consistent across seasons-0.298