Player breakdown
Raphael Williams
Pitt · 2026 Draft Class
5-10165 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
41%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Pitt | ACC | 13 | 37 | 426 | 6 | 11.5 | 32.8 |
| 2025 | Pitt | ACC | 13 | 51 | 701 | 7 | 13.7 | 53.9 |
| Career | 26 | 88 | 1,127 | 13 | 12.8 | 43.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
41%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 22% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.211
Recruit dominator synergy+0.384
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.163
Top Negative Factors
-8.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.707
Physical production synergy-0.426
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.370