Player breakdown
Rashard Higgins
Colorado St. · 2016 Draft Class
6-1196 lbs5th round, 172nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~31
EliteAll-American x1Did Not Hit
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
89%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | CLE | 16 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 12.8 | 0 | 4.8 |
| 2017 | CLE | 15 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 312 | 11.6 | 2 | 20.8 |
| 2018 | CLE | 13 | 1 | 53 | 39 | 572 | 14.7 | 4 | 44 |
| 2019 | CLE | 10 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 55 | 13.8 | 1 | 5.5 |
| 2020 | CLE | 13 | 6 | 52 | 37 | 599 | 16.2 | 4 | 46.1 |
| 2021 | CLE | 15 | 4 | 47 | 24 | 275 | 11.5 | 1 | 18.3 |
| Career | 82 | 16 | 225 | 137 | 1,890 | 13.8 | 12 | 23.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Colorado State | MWC | 14 | 68 | 837 | 6 | 12.3 | 59.8 |
| 2014 | Colorado State | MWC | 12 | 96 | 1,750 | 17 | 18.2 | 145.8 |
| 2015 | Colorado State | MWC | 12 | 75 | 1,062 | 8 | 14.2 | 88.5 |
| Career | 38 | 239 | 3,649 | 31 | 15.3 | 96.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
91%
ML model output
Context Prob
77%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.236
Physical production synergy+0.415
36.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.322
Top Negative Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.295
Improvement accelerating (+1.1) — getting better faster each year-0.257
Recruit dominator synergy-0.229