Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Rasheed Marshall
Rasheed Marshall

Player breakdown

Rasheed Marshall

West Virginia · 2005 Draft Class

6-0185 lbs5th round, 174th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~45
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

23%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2005SFO12061-1-10-0.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2002West VirginiaBig East132220111.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

22%

ML model output

Context Prob

33%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.735
Recruit dominator synergy+0.525
1.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.300

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.349
-50.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.581
Accounted for 0.08 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.376

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)