Player breakdown
Riley Ridley
Georgia · 2019 Draft Class
6-1199 lbs4th round, 126th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~30
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
37%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | CHI | 5 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 69 | 11.5 | 0 | 13.8 |
| 2020 | CHI | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 9.8 | 0 | 7.8 |
| Career | 10 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 108 | 10.8 | 0 | 10.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Georgia | SEC | 11 | 12 | 238 | 2 | 19.8 | 21.6 |
| 2017 | Georgia | SEC | 14 | 14 | 218 | 2 | 15.6 | 15.6 |
| 2018 | Georgia | SEC | 14 | 44 | 570 | 9 | 13 | 40.7 |
| Career | 39 | 70 | 1,026 | 13 | 14.7 | 26.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
11%
ML model output
Context Prob
76%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 16% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.131
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.99x — route-running independent of system+0.195
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.91 — elite recruit at elite school+0.174
Top Negative Factors
-28.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.757
Accounted for 1.60 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.390
Physical production synergy-0.358