Player breakdown
Santonio Holmes
Ohio St. · 2006 Draft Class
5-11188 lbs1st round, 25th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
79%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | PIT | 16 | 4 | 86 | 49 | 824 | 16.8 | 2 | 51.5 |
| 2007 | PIT | 13 | 13 | 85 | 52 | 942 | 18.1 | 8 | 72.5 |
| 2008 | PIT | 15 | 15 | 114 | 55 | 821 | 14.9 | 5 | 54.7 |
| 2009 | PIT | 16 | 16 | 138 | 79 | 1,248 | 15.8 | 5 | 78 |
| 2010 | NYJ | 12 | 10 | 96 | 52 | 746 | 14.3 | 6 | 62.2 |
| 2011 | NYJ | 16 | 16 | 101 | 51 | 654 | 12.8 | 8 | 40.9 |
| 2012 | NYJ | 4 | 4 | 41 | 20 | 272 | 13.6 | 1 | 68 |
| 2013 | NYJ | 11 | 11 | 59 | 23 | 456 | 19.8 | 1 | 41.5 |
| 2014 | CHI | 9 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 67 | 8.4 | 0 | 7.4 |
| Career | 112 | 91 | 734 | 389 | 6,030 | 15.5 | 36 | 53.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12 | 32 | 549 | 7 | 17.2 | 45.8 |
| 2004 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12 | 55 | 769 | 7 | 14 | 64.1 |
| 2005 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12 | 53 | 977 | 11 | 18.4 | 81.4 |
| Career | 36 | 140 | 2,295 | 25 | 16.4 | 63.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
86%
ML model output
Context Prob
42%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.156
Physical production synergy+0.428
BMI 26.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (188 lbs)+0.234
Top Negative Factors
+9.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.712
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.390
Recruit dominator synergy-0.268