Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Rodney Adams
Rodney Adams

Player breakdown

Rodney Adams

South Florida · 2017 Draft Class

6-1189 lbs5th round, 170th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

38%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2021CHI10100000
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013ToledoMAC321507.55
2014South FloridaAmerican102332321432.3
2015South FloridaAmerican1345822918.363.2
2016South FloridaAmerican1367822512.363.2
Career391371,9821614.550.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

93%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

7

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 24.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (189 lbs)+0.181
Speed score 97.3 — strong weight-adjusted athleticism+0.143
54.6 career ypg — limited college production+0.142

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.615
+0.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.732
Improvement accelerating (+53.8) — getting better faster each year-0.458

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)