Player breakdown
Rodney Wright
Fresno St. · 2002 Draft Class
5-10165 lbs7th round, 249th overallAge: ~44
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
52%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Fresno State | WAC | 5 | 33 | 389 | 2 | 11.8 | 77.8 |
| 2001 | Fresno State | WAC | 13 | 91 | 1,331 | 10 | 14.6 | 102.4 |
| Career | 18 | 124 | 1,720 | 12 | 13.9 | 95.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
53%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.231
Recruit dominator synergy+0.445
0.67 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.224
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.538
Improvement accelerating (+2.4) — getting better faster each year-0.419
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.230