Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ron Johnson
Ron Johnson

Player breakdown

Ron Johnson

Minnesota · 2002 Draft Class

6-2225 lbs4th round, 123rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~46
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

67%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2002BAL164261011411.417.1
2003BAL6031121202
Career224291112611.515.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000MinnesotaBig Ten11591,0671118.197
2001MinnesotaBig Ten115689591681.4
2014ConnecticutAmerican1232006.71.7
2015ConnecticutAmerican1242907.32.4
2016ConnecticutAmerican1284705.93.9
Career581302,0582015.835.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

71%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.196
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.574
+32.2 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.303

Top Negative Factors

Scout dominator depth synergy-0.408
Physical production synergy-0.391
Recruit dominator synergy-0.309

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)