
Player breakdown
Ron Johnson
Minnesota · 2002 Draft Class
6-2225 lbs4th round, 123rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~46
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
67%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | BAL | 16 | 4 | 26 | 10 | 114 | 11.4 | 1 | 7.1 |
| 2003 | BAL | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 2 |
| Career | 22 | 4 | 29 | 11 | 126 | 11.5 | 1 | 5.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 11 | 59 | 1,067 | 11 | 18.1 | 97 |
| 2001 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 11 | 56 | 895 | 9 | 16 | 81.4 |
| 2014 | Connecticut | American | 12 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 6.7 | 1.7 |
| 2015 | Connecticut | American | 12 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 7.3 | 2.4 |
| 2016 | Connecticut | American | 12 | 8 | 47 | 0 | 5.9 | 3.9 |
| Career | 58 | 130 | 2,058 | 20 | 15.8 | 35.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
71%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.196
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.574
+32.2 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.303
Top Negative Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.408
Physical production synergy-0.391
Recruit dominator synergy-0.309