Player breakdown
Ronnel Johnson
Missouri State · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
31%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Missouri State | CUSA | 13 | 35 | 463 | 2 | 13.2 | 35.6 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
31%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.867
Recruit dominator synergy+0.465
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.281
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.747
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.532
0.15 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.396