Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ryan Broyles
Ryan Broyles

Player breakdown

Ryan Broyles

Oklahoma · 2012 Draft Class

5-10192 lbs2nd round, 54th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~38
EliteAll-American x2Did Not Hit
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

78%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012DET103322231014.1231
2013DET631488510.6014.2
2014DET50522512.505
Career216513242013.1220.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008OklahomaBig 121346687614.952.8
2009OklahomaBig 1212891,1201512.693.3
2010OklahomaBig 12141311,6221412.4115.9
2011OklahomaBig 129831,1571013.9128.6
Career483494,5864513.195.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

28%

ML model output

Context Prob

75%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.051
+41.1 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.245
BMI 27.6 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (192 lbs)+0.219

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.571
Improvement accelerating (+1.4) — getting better faster each year-0.356
Efficiency consistency: 1.14 — highly consistent across seasons-0.284

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)