Player breakdown
Sam Roush
Stanford · 2026 Draft Class
6-6267 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
13%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 12 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 17 | 2.8 |
| 2023 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 12 | 28 | 288 | 0 | 10.3 | 24 |
| 2024 | Stanford | ACC | 12 | 40 | 334 | 2 | 8.4 | 27.8 |
| 2025 | Stanford | ACC | 12 | 49 | 545 | 2 | 11.1 | 45.4 |
| Career | 48 | 119 | 1,201 | 4 | 10.1 | 25.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
51%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.511
2.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.261
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.94x — route-running independent of system+0.179
Top Negative Factors
+1.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.774
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+15.0) — getting better faster each year-0.451