Player breakdown
Shamir Hagans
Duke · 2026 Draft Class
5-9168 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Duke | ACC | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1.3 |
| 2022 | Duke | ACC | 13 | 31 | 400 | 5 | 12.9 | 30.8 |
| 2023 | Duke | ACC | 13 | 30 | 260 | 0 | 8.7 | 20 |
| 2024 | Duke | ACC | 13 | 47 | 413 | 3 | 8.8 | 31.8 |
| 2025 | Duke | ACC | 14 | 43 | 508 | 6 | 11.8 | 36.3 |
| Career | 57 | 152 | 1,586 | 14 | 10.4 | 27.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
4%
ML model output
Context Prob
33%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.457
1.2 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.253
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.191
Top Negative Factors
-23.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.757
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.631
Improvement accelerating (+100.6) — getting better faster each year-0.531