Player breakdown
Sloan Thomas
Texas · 2004 Draft Class
6-1203 lbs7th round, 211th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~44
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
13%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Texas | Big 12 | 8 | 9 | 208 | 3 | 23.1 | 26 |
| 2001 | Texas | Big 12 | 12 | 29 | 435 | 5 | 15 | 36.3 |
| 2002 | Texas | Big 12 | 13 | 30 | 383 | 2 | 12.8 | 29.5 |
| 2003 | Texas | Big 12 | 13 | 20 | 336 | 2 | 16.8 | 25.8 |
| Career | 46 | 88 | 1,362 | 12 | 15.5 | 29.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
73%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 7% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.207
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.94x — route-running independent of system+0.166
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.89 — elite recruit at elite school+0.165
Top Negative Factors
-26.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.792
0.26 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.484
Accounted for 1.06 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.406