Player breakdown
Stedman Bailey
West Virginia · 2013 Draft Class
5-10193 lbs3rd round, 92nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
37%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | STL | 16 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 226 | 13.3 | 0 | 14.1 |
| 2014 | STL | 14 | 3 | 46 | 30 | 435 | 14.5 | 1 | 31.1 |
| 2015 | STL | 8 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 182 | 15.2 | 1 | 22.8 |
| Career | 38 | 8 | 96 | 59 | 843 | 14.3 | 2 | 22.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | West Virginia | Big East | 13 | 24 | 317 | 4 | 13.2 | 24.4 |
| 2011 | West Virginia | Big East | 13 | 72 | 1,279 | 12 | 17.8 | 98.4 |
| 2012 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 13 | 114 | 1,622 | 25 | 14.2 | 124.8 |
| Career | 39 | 210 | 3,218 | 41 | 15.3 | 82.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
37.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.338
Speed × production: 150.0 — elite combined athletic output+0.256
BMI 27.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (193 lbs)+0.217
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.664
Physical production synergy-0.492
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.418