Player breakdown
Kendall Wright
Baylor · 2012 Draft Class
5-10196 lbs1st round, 20th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
92%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | TEN | 15 | 5 | 104 | 64 | 626 | 9.8 | 4 | 41.7 |
| 2013 | TEN | 16 | 12 | 139 | 94 | 1,079 | 11.5 | 2 | 67.4 |
| 2014 | TEN | 14 | 11 | 93 | 57 | 715 | 12.5 | 6 | 51.1 |
| 2015 | TEN | 10 | 9 | 60 | 36 | 408 | 11.3 | 3 | 40.8 |
| 2016 | TEN | 11 | 4 | 42 | 29 | 416 | 14.3 | 3 | 37.8 |
| 2017 | CHI | 16 | 4 | 91 | 59 | 614 | 10.4 | 1 | 38.4 |
| Career | 82 | 45 | 529 | 339 | 3,858 | 11.4 | 19 | 47.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Baylor | Big 12 | 12 | 50 | 649 | 5 | 13 | 54.1 |
| 2009 | Baylor | Big 12 | 12 | 66 | 740 | 4 | 11.2 | 61.7 |
| 2010 | Baylor | Big 12 | 13 | 78 | 952 | 7 | 12.2 | 73.2 |
| 2011 | Baylor | Big 12 | 13 | 108 | 1,663 | 14 | 15.4 | 127.9 |
| Career | 50 | 302 | 4,004 | 30 | 13.3 | 80.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
98%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.103
Physical production synergy+0.525
32.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.312
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+1.6) — getting better faster each year-0.212
0.10 TDs/catch — high-value usage pattern-0.182
38.5" vertical — strong explosive power-0.132