Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tajae Sharpe
Tajae Sharpe

Player breakdown

Tajae Sharpe

Massachusetts · 2016 Draft Class

6-2194 lbs5th round, 140th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~31
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016TEN1610834152212.7232.6
2018TEN1613472631612.2219.8
2019TEN156352532913.2421.9
2020MIN40300000
2021ATL15737252309.2015.3
Career66362051171,39711.9821.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2012MassachusettsMAC1120206010.318.7
2013MassachusettsMAC1261680411.156.7
2014MassachusettsMAC12851,281715.1106.8
2015MassachusettsMAC121111,319511.9109.9
Career472773,4861612.674.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

36%

ML model output

Context Prob

39%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical production synergy+0.468
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.218
BMI 24.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (194 lbs)+0.206

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.630
Improvement accelerating (+5.4) — getting better faster each year-0.363
0.34 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.289

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)