Player breakdown
Jamison Crowder
Duke · 2015 Draft Class
5-8185 lbs4th round, 105th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
17%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | WAS | 16 | 6 | 78 | 59 | 604 | 10.2 | 2 | 37.8 |
| 2016 | WAS | 16 | 9 | 99 | 67 | 847 | 12.6 | 7 | 52.9 |
| 2017 | WAS | 15 | 6 | 103 | 66 | 789 | 12 | 3 | 52.6 |
| 2018 | WAS | 9 | 7 | 49 | 29 | 388 | 13.4 | 2 | 43.1 |
| 2019 | NYJ | 16 | 12 | 122 | 78 | 833 | 10.7 | 6 | 52.1 |
| 2020 | NYJ | 12 | 7 | 89 | 59 | 699 | 11.8 | 6 | 58.3 |
| 2021 | NYJ | 12 | 4 | 71 | 51 | 447 | 8.8 | 2 | 37.3 |
| 2022 | BUF | 4 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 60 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 2023 | WAS | 17 | 0 | 20 | 16 | 159 | 9.9 | 1 | 9.4 |
| 2024 | WAS | 6 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 72 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| Career | 123 | 52 | 657 | 440 | 4,898 | 11.1 | 31 | 39.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Duke | ACC | 12 | 14 | 163 | 1 | 11.6 | 13.6 |
| 2012 | Duke | ACC | 13 | 76 | 1,074 | 8 | 14.1 | 82.6 |
| 2013 | Duke | ACC | 14 | 108 | 1,360 | 8 | 12.6 | 97.1 |
| 2014 | Duke | ACC | 13 | 85 | 1,044 | 6 | 12.3 | 80.3 |
| Career | 52 | 283 | 3,641 | 23 | 12.9 | 70.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
11%
ML model output
Context Prob
53%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
BMI 28.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (185 lbs)+0.186
Speed score 85.6 — below average weight-adjusted athleticism+0.156
42.4 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities+0.152
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.688
Physical production synergy-0.515
Improvement accelerating (+7.3) — getting better faster each year-0.472