Player breakdown
Talman Gardner
Florida St. · 2003 Draft Class
6-1205 lbs7th round, 231st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~46
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
75%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | NOR | 10 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 2004 | NOR | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 2.1 |
| Career | 21 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 52 | 13.0 | 0 | 2.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Florida State | ACC | 11 | 12 | 198 | 0 | 16.5 | 18 |
| 2001 | Florida State | ACC | 11 | 33 | 649 | 11 | 19.7 | 59 |
| 2002 | Florida State | ACC | 14 | 38 | 625 | 8 | 16.4 | 44.6 |
| Career | 36 | 83 | 1,472 | 19 | 17.7 | 40.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
30%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
9
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.251
Class YPR rank: top 19% — elite per-target efficiency+0.259
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.222
Top Negative Factors
-15.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.765
Physical production synergy-0.526
Improvement accelerating (+2.3) — getting better faster each year-0.306