Player breakdown
Tanner Koziol
Houston · 2026 Draft Class
6-6247 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
3%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Ball State | MAC | 12 | 35 | 373 | 7 | 10.7 | 31.1 |
| 2023 | Ball State | MAC | 12 | 34 | 295 | 3 | 8.7 | 24.6 |
| 2024 | Ball State | MAC | 12 | 94 | 839 | 8 | 8.9 | 69.9 |
| 2025 | Houston | Big 12 | 13 | 74 | 727 | 6 | 9.8 | 55.9 |
| Career | 49 | 237 | 2,234 | 24 | 9.4 | 45.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.504
+32.7 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.189
Volume + efficiency: 0.42 — solid combined output within draft class+0.168
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-3.125
Physical production synergy-0.463
Accounted for 1.66 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.394