Player breakdown
Terrance Carter
Texas Tech · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
20%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 12 | 28 | 255 | 3 | 9.1 | 21.3 |
| 2024 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 13 | 48 | 689 | 4 | 14.4 | 53 |
| 2025 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 13 | 55 | 624 | 5 | 11.3 | 48 |
| Career | 38 | 131 | 1,568 | 12 | 12.0 | 41.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
20%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.979
Recruit dominator synergy+0.454
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.221
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.699
Improvement accelerating (+1.7) — getting better faster each year-0.387
Accounted for 1.52 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.376