Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tim Carter
Tim Carter

Player breakdown

Tim Carter

Auburn · 2002 Draft Class

6-0190 lbs2nd round, 46th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~46
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2002NYG50323718.507.4
2003NYG122522630911.9025.8
2004NYG50181218215.2136.4
2005NYG151241018618.6012.4
2006NYG168482225311.5215.8
2007CLE16022811714.617.3
2009STL20516603
Career7111172811,09013.5415.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000AuburnSEC1121271112.924.6
2001AuburnSEC1135570316.351.8
Career2256841415.038.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

0%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 25.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (190 lbs)+0.160
Speed score 109.1 — elite weight-adjusted athleticism+0.115
38.2 career ypg — limited college production+0.110

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.390
-16.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.560
Physical production synergy-0.501

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)