Player breakdown
Tory Horton
Colorado St. · 2025 Draft Class
6-3196 lbs5th round, 166th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
56%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | SEA | 8 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 161 | 12.4 | 5 | 20.1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Nevada | MWC | 9 | 20 | 336 | 5 | 16.8 | 37.3 |
| 2021 | Nevada | MWC | 12 | 52 | 659 | 5 | 12.7 | 54.9 |
| 2022 | Colorado State | MWC | 12 | 71 | 1,131 | 8 | 15.9 | 94.3 |
| 2023 | Colorado State | MWC | 12 | 96 | 1,136 | 8 | 11.8 | 94.7 |
| 2024 | Colorado State | MWC | 6 | 26 | 353 | 1 | 13.6 | 58.8 |
| Career | 51 | 265 | 3,615 | 27 | 13.6 | 70.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
58%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.142
Physical production synergy+0.455
+32.9 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.288
Top Negative Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.339
Improvement accelerating (+2.4) — getting better faster each year-0.296
Efficiency consistency: 1.17 — highly consistent across seasons-0.270