Player breakdown
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
Boise St. · 2018 Draft Class
5-10179 lbs6th round, 208th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
72%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | DAL | 6 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 46 | 9.2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| 2020 | DAL | 16 | 0 | 28 | 17 | 189 | 11.1 | 2 | 11.8 |
| 2021 | DAL | 16 | 4 | 61 | 45 | 602 | 13.4 | 6 | 37.6 |
| 2022 | MIA | 15 | 0 | 18 | 12 | 136 | 11.3 | 0 | 9.1 |
| 2023 | MIA | 15 | 3 | 38 | 22 | 296 | 13.5 | 3 | 19.7 |
| 2024 | NOR | 15 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 211 | 10.6 | 1 | 14.1 |
| 2025 | MIA | 10 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 8.8 | 0 | 4.4 |
| Career | 93 | 16 | 189 | 126 | 1,524 | 12.1 | 12 | 16.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Boise State | MWC | 13 | 56 | 1,129 | 11 | 20.2 | 86.8 |
| 2017 | Boise State | MWC | 14 | 83 | 1,511 | 7 | 18.2 | 107.9 |
| Career | 27 | 139 | 2,640 | 18 | 19.0 | 97.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
65%
ML model output
Context Prob
85%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.340
57.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.322
+45.6 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.234
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.376
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.377
Efficiency composite: 0.23 — average combined efficiency-0.212