Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Travis Wilson
Travis Wilson

Player breakdown

Travis Wilson

Oklahoma · 2006 Draft Class

6-2214 lbs3rd round, 78th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

66%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2006CLE4162321608
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Michigan StateBig Ten11457214.35.2
2002OklahomaBig 1295501105.6
2002Kansas StateBig 12133450153.5
2003OklahomaBig 121325295411.822.7
2003Kansas StateBig 1213450112.53.8
2004OklahomaBig 1213506601113.250.8
2005OklahomaBig 12925310112.434.4
2012UtahPac-12121220221.8
Career931171,4892012.716.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

25%

ML model output

Context Prob

83%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

6

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.160
5.6 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.268
Recruit dominator synergy+0.224

Top Negative Factors

-26.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.757
Physical production synergy-0.426
Accounted for 1.63 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.408

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)