Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Reggie Brown
Reggie Brown

Player breakdown

Reggie Brown

Georgia · 2005 Draft Class

6-2196 lbs2nd round, 35th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~45
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

42%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2005PHI1611794357113.3435.7
2006PHI1615884681617.7851
2007PHI16141116178012.8448.8
2008PHI103351825214125.2
2009PHI14224915517.2011.1
Career72453371772,57414.51735.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000GeorgiaSEC101314311114.3
2001GeorgiaSEC364707.815.7
2002GeorgiaSEC1423296212.921.1
2003GeorgiaSEC1349662313.550.9
2004GeorgiaSEC1253860616.271.7
2008Eastern MichiganMAC216063
2021TulaneAmerican518081.6
2022James MadisonSun Belt824401416.750.1
2022TulaneAmerican12416141.3
2023James MadisonSun Belt13531,054919.981.1
2023TulaneAmerican1432508.31.8
2024TulaneAmerican134522134
Career1192343,5702815.330.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

93%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

7

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 16% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.217
BMI 25.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (196 lbs)+0.189
38.6 career ypg — limited college production+0.141

Top Negative Factors

-15.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.771
0.23 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.471
Physical production synergy-0.377

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)