Player breakdown
Tre Nixon
Central Florida · 2021 Draft Class
6-0187 lbs7th round, 242nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
73%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Ole Miss | SEC | 10 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 1.9 |
| 2018 | UCF | American | 13 | 40 | 562 | 4 | 14.1 | 43.2 |
| 2019 | UCF | American | 13 | 49 | 830 | 7 | 16.9 | 63.8 |
| 2020 | UCF | American | 4 | 19 | 260 | 2 | 13.7 | 65 |
| Career | 40 | 109 | 1,671 | 13 | 15.3 | 41.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
21%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
8
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.291
Recruit dominator synergy+0.351
BMI 25.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (187 lbs)+0.191
Top Negative Factors
+0.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.743
Improvement accelerating (+42.7) — getting better faster each year-0.472
Accounted for 1.81 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.419