Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Martavis Bryant
Martavis Bryant

Player breakdown

Martavis Bryant

Clemson · 2014 Draft Class

6-4211 lbs4th round, 118th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

73%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2014PIT103482654921.1854.9
2015PIT115925076515.3669.5
2017PIT158845060312.1340.2
2018OAK82271926614033.3
Career44182511452,18315.11749.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2011ClemsonACC149221224.615.8
2012ClemsonACC1010305430.530.5
2013ClemsonACC1342828719.763.7
Career37611,3541322.236.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

20%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

10

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.187
Recruit dominator synergy+0.507
BMI 25.7 — ideal frame for NFL WR (211 lbs)+0.223

Top Negative Factors

-19.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.742
Physical production synergy-0.470
0.35 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.409

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)