Player breakdown
Tre'Quan Smith
Central Florida · 2018 Draft Class
6-2203 lbs3rd round, 91st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
83%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | NOR | 15 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 427 | 15.3 | 5 | 28.5 |
| 2019 | NOR | 11 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 234 | 13 | 5 | 21.3 |
| 2020 | NOR | 14 | 10 | 50 | 34 | 448 | 13.2 | 4 | 32 |
| 2021 | NOR | 11 | 6 | 50 | 32 | 377 | 11.8 | 3 | 34.3 |
| 2022 | NOR | 15 | 6 | 27 | 19 | 278 | 14.6 | 1 | 18.5 |
| Career | 66 | 35 | 196 | 131 | 1,764 | 13.5 | 18 | 26.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | UCF | American | 12 | 52 | 724 | 4 | 13.9 | 60.3 |
| 2016 | UCF | American | 13 | 57 | 853 | 5 | 15 | 65.6 |
| 2017 | UCF | American | 13 | 59 | 1,171 | 13 | 19.8 | 90.1 |
| Career | 38 | 168 | 2,748 | 22 | 16.4 | 72.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
87%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.364
Physical production synergy+0.294
BMI 26.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (203 lbs)+0.238
Top Negative Factors
Recruit dominator synergy-0.202
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.152
Height-adjusted speed: 4.37s — elite speed for frame-0.149