Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Trevor Davis
Trevor Davis

Player breakdown

Trevor Davis

California · 2016 Draft Class

6-1188 lbs5th round, 163rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

39%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016GNB1107324812.2
2017GNB16075701404.4
20192TM11411811113.9010.1
2019GNB20112828014
2019OAK941078311.909.2
Career498362431613.216.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2011HawaiiWAC728366313.152.3
2012HawaiiMWC817235213.829.4
2014CaliforniaPac-121024399516.639.9
2015CaliforniaPac-121340672216.851.7
Career381091,6721215.344.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

37%

ML model output

Context Prob

49%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.207
Recruit dominator synergy+0.536
Class YPR rank: top 21% — strong per-target efficiency+0.236

Top Negative Factors

-7.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.749
Accounted for 1.22 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.423
0.30 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.403

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)