Player breakdown
Trey Quinn
SMU · 2018 Draft Class
5-11203 lbs7th round, 256th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
70%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | WAS | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 8.3 | 1 | 25 |
| 2019 | WAS | 12 | 6 | 47 | 26 | 198 | 7.6 | 1 | 16.5 |
| Career | 15 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 273 | 7.8 | 2 | 18.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | LSU | SEC | 13 | 17 | 193 | 0 | 11.4 | 14.8 |
| 2015 | LSU | SEC | 12 | 5 | 83 | 0 | 16.6 | 6.9 |
| 2017 | SMU | American | 13 | 114 | 1,236 | 13 | 10.8 | 95.1 |
| Career | 38 | 136 | 1,512 | 13 | 11.1 | 39.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
75%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.288
+39.1 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.240
BMI 28.3 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (203 lbs)+0.187
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.577
Improvement accelerating (+5.4) — getting better faster each year-0.404
Recruit dominator synergy-0.284