Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Mohamed Sanu
Mohamed Sanu

Player breakdown

Mohamed Sanu

Rutgers · 2012 Draft Class

6-1211 lbs3rd round, 83rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~37
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

18%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012CIN9325161549.6417.1
2013CIN161477474559.7228.4
2014CIN1613985679014.1549.4
2015CIN164493339411.9024.6
2016ATL1515815965311.1443.5
2017ATL1515966770310.5546.9
2018ATL1616946683812.7452.4
20192TM151289595208.8234.7
2019ATL7642333139.5144.7
2019NWE8647262078125.9
20202TM104241718711118.7
2020SFO30119903
2020DET74231617811.1125.4
2021SFO80241517711.8022.1
Career1611127705115,57810.93034.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2009RutgersBig East1351639312.549.2
2010RutgersBig East124441829.534.8
2011RutgersBig East131151,206710.592.8
Career382102,2631210.859.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

14%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.176
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.86x — route-running independent of system+0.167
Volume + efficiency: 0.47 — solid combined output within draft class+0.159

Top Negative Factors

+3.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.707
Physical production synergy-0.599
0.32 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.317

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)