Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Triandos Luke
Triandos Luke

Player breakdown

Triandos Luke

Alabama · 2004 Draft Class

5-11199 lbs6th round, 171st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~44
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

25%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2004DEN10086528.705.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000AlabamaSEC726030.9
2001AlabamaSEC1115152310.113.8
2002AlabamaSEC1341482211.837.1
2003AlabamaSEC1332432413.533.2
Career44901,072911.924.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

22%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 33% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.226
Recruit dominator synergy+0.420
0.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.267

Top Negative Factors

-30.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.749
0.20 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.424
Improvement accelerating (+79.3) — getting better faster each year-0.423

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)