Player breakdown
Troy Franklin
Oregon · 2024 Draft Class
6-2176 lbs4th round, 102nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~23
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
39%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | DEN | 16 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 263 | 9.4 | 2 | 16.4 |
| 2025 | DEN | 17 | 7 | 104 | 65 | 709 | 10.9 | 6 | 41.7 |
| Career | 33 | 13 | 157 | 93 | 972 | 10.5 | 8 | 29.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 14 | 18 | 209 | 2 | 11.6 | 14.9 |
| 2022 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 13 | 61 | 891 | 9 | 14.6 | 68.5 |
| 2023 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 13 | 81 | 1,383 | 14 | 17.1 | 106.4 |
| Career | 40 | 160 | 2,483 | 25 | 15.5 | 62.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
BMI 22.6 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (176 lbs)+0.224
0.62 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.169
Speed score 93.1 — below average weight-adjusted athleticism+0.164
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.605
+9.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.492
Physical production synergy-0.380