Player breakdown
Troy Williamson
South Carolina · 2005 Draft Class
6-1203 lbs1st round, 7th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~43
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
39%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | MIN | 14 | 3 | 52 | 24 | 372 | 15.5 | 2 | 26.6 |
| 2006 | MIN | 14 | 11 | 76 | 37 | 455 | 12.3 | 0 | 32.5 |
| 2007 | MIN | 11 | 8 | 39 | 18 | 240 | 13.3 | 1 | 21.8 |
| 2008 | JAX | 8 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 3.8 |
| 2009 | JAX | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | 0 | 17 |
| Career | 49 | 24 | 184 | 87 | 1,131 | 13.0 | 4 | 23.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | South Carolina | SEC | 11 | 17 | 491 | 4 | 28.9 | 44.6 |
| 2003 | South Carolina | SEC | 12 | 31 | 428 | 2 | 13.8 | 35.7 |
| 2004 | South Carolina | SEC | 11 | 43 | 835 | 7 | 19.4 | 75.9 |
| Career | 34 | 91 | 1,754 | 13 | 19.3 | 51.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
31%
ML model output
Context Prob
52%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.088
Physical production synergy+0.471
BMI 26.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (203 lbs)+0.249
Top Negative Factors
-4.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.756
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.409
Efficiency consistency: 1.50 — highly consistent across seasons-0.342