Player breakdown
Tutu Atwell
Louisville · 2021 Draft Class
5-8155 lbs2nd round, 57th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~26
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
87%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | LAR | 13 | 4 | 35 | 18 | 298 | 16.6 | 1 | 22.9 |
| 2023 | LAR | 16 | 14 | 67 | 39 | 483 | 12.4 | 3 | 30.2 |
| 2024 | LAR | 17 | 5 | 62 | 42 | 562 | 13.4 | 0 | 33.1 |
| 2025 | LAR | 10 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 192 | 32 | 1 | 19.2 |
| Career | 56 | 27 | 179 | 105 | 1,535 | 14.6 | 5 | 27.4 | |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
82%
ML model output
Context Prob
94%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.231
Accounted for 4.23 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.234
BMI 23.6 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (155 lbs)+0.214
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.590
Improvement accelerating (+2.1) — getting better faster each year-0.303
Recruit dominator synergy-0.217