Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tylan Wallace
Tylan Wallace

Player breakdown

Tylan Wallace

Oklahoma St. · 2021 Draft Class

5-11194 lbs4th round, 131st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~27
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

94%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2021BAL171622311.501.4
2022BAL9074338.303.7
2023BAL11021111101
2024BAL170121119317.5111.4
2025BAL142844511.313.2
Career683352230513.924.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2017Oklahoma StateBig 12137118016.99.1
2018Oklahoma StateBig 1213861,4911217.3114.7
2019Oklahoma StateBig 12953903817100.3
2020Oklahoma StateBig 121059922615.692.2
Career452053,4342616.876.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

90%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

6

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.217
Physical production synergy+0.316
BMI 27.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (194 lbs)+0.266

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+11.6) — getting better faster each year-0.407
Recruit dominator synergy-0.243
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.26x — route-running independent of system-0.168

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)