Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tyrone Calico
Tyrone Calico

Player breakdown

Tyrone Calico

Middle Tenn. St. · 2003 Draft Class

6-4223 lbs2nd round, 60th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~45
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

11%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2003TEN142431829716.5421.2
2004TEN1042136.5013
2005TEN12642221918.7015.9
Career278894250111.9418.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Middle Tennessee StateInd114775231668.4
2001Middle Tennessee StateSun Belt1137583515.853
2002Middle Tennessee StateSun Belt1245606413.550.5
Career341291,9411215.057.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

10%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.575
Physical production synergy+0.339
37.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.306

Top Negative Factors

+0.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.752
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.633
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.349

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)