Player breakdown
Velus Jones Jr.
Tennessee · 2022 Draft Class
6-0204 lbs3rd round, 71st overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~29
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
39%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | CHI | 12 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 107 | 15.3 | 1 | 8.9 |
| 2023 | CHI | 14 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 2TM | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2.7 |
| 2024 | CHI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 2024 | CAR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 32 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 143 | 11.0 | 1 | 4.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | USC | Pac-12 | 14 | 6 | 46 | 0 | 7.7 | 3.3 |
| 2018 | USC | Pac-12 | 12 | 24 | 266 | 1 | 11.1 | 22.2 |
| 2019 | USC | Pac-12 | 12 | 6 | 35 | 0 | 5.8 | 2.9 |
| 2020 | Tennessee | SEC | 10 | 22 | 280 | 3 | 12.7 | 28 |
| 2021 | Tennessee | SEC | 13 | 62 | 807 | 7 | 13 | 62.1 |
| Career | 61 | 120 | 1,434 | 11 | 11.9 | 23.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
9
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.418
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.95x — route-running independent of system+0.160
BMI 27.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (204 lbs)+0.157
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.510
-8.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.540
Improvement accelerating (+16.5) — getting better faster each year-0.463